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Does Innovation Always Create Value? Evidence from a Quasi-natural Experiment
Peter Huang  1@  
1 : University of Waikato

This study examines stock market reactions to New Zealand's 2018 Taxation (Research and Development Tax Credits) Bill, exploiting its key legislative milestones as quasi-natural experiments to identify the causal effects of R&D incentive policies on firm value. Surprisingly, I find that stock market returns of R&D firms were significantly negative when the bill and its amendment were introduced to the Parliament for the first time. The results remain strong in a bunch of robustness tests. I discuss and investigate a few possible explanations to the findings. The study provides new evidence on whether government support for R&D consistently translates to increased firm valuation.


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